Catalog Item
S&T Project 20032 Final Report: An Experimental Monsoon Forecast for Water Management
This research has two main components: first, the predictability of monsoon season precipitation is characterized by evaluating the skill of monsoon weather types in forecast ensemble products. Second, we will investigate the potential usability by identifying monsoon forecasts of opportunity for water management and transferring them to a web-based experimental real-time forecast platform. Leveraging prior research and partnerships, the monsoon forecast is applied to regions in New Mexico and Arizona, but the process of defining weather types and developing an experimental forecast system can be extended to other Reclamation regions.
Data and Code Availability
ERA-Interim data can be accessed from https://apps.ecmwf.int/datasets/data/interim-full-daily/levtype=sfc/, PRISM precipitation data from https://prism.oregonstate.edu/, and NMME seasonal hindcasts can be downloaded from https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/data-access/model-data/model-datasets/north-american-multi-model-ensemble. Finally, the ECMWF-IFS hindcasts and forecasts can be accessed from https://climate.copernicus.eu/seasonal-forecasts.
The code for the statistical analysis and visualization of data in this report is openly available through GitHub (https://github.com/AndreasPrein/NAM_S2S_predictability).
Catalog Record Title
Report from S&T Project 20032: An Experimental Monsoon Forecast for Water Management
Generation Effort
S&T Project 20032: An Experimental Monsoon Forecast for Water Management
Location Name
Western US
Type
Uploaded file(s)
File Type
PDF
Publisher
Bureau of Reclamation
Publication Date
Friday, September 1st, 2023
Update Frequency
not planned
Last Update
Wednesday, December 6th, 2023
Disclaimer
The Bureau of Reclamation assumes no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this data. The information contained in this data is provided on an "as is" basis with no guarantees of completeness, accuracy, usefulness or timeliness and without any warranties of any kind whatsoever, express or implied. The Bureau of Reclamation does not warrant that this data and any information or material downloaded from the data, will be uninterrupted, error-free, omission-free or free of virus or other harmful items.
